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Turkiye: monthly report July 2024

On July 23rd, the Turkish Central Bank decided to keep the benchmark interest rates unchanged at 50%. According to Turkish authorities, inflation, which stood at 71.6% in June, is expected to experience a temporary increase in July before beginning to decrease in the second half of the year. However, it will be a "bumpy road," according to economic operators, who expect an inflation rate higher than the government's estimates. Regarding a possible rate reduction, the start of a cautious path of cuts is anticipated for the end of 2024 or the beginning of 2025, when inflation should begin to decrease significantly.

On the trade policy front, BYD, the largest Chinese company in the electric vehicle sector, has signed an agreement worth around $1 billion with the Turkish government to produce cars in the country. The plant, expected to create more than 5,000 jobs starting in 2026, will produce about 150,000 vehicles annually. The agreement was formalized during an event attended by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and BYD CEO Wang Chuanfu. The announcement follows Western countries' decision to introduce import tariffs on Chinese electric cars, whose manufacturers enjoy significant state subsidies from the government, allowing them to sell at more competitive prices, effectively pushing European and American competitors out of the market. The European tariffs, effective from last Friday, July 5, will range from 17.4% to 37.6%, varying depending on the entity to which they apply, and will be added to the existing 10% tariffs. Türkiye, as is known, has been part of the EU Customs Union since 1995, and vehicles produced in the country and exported to the EU are therefore not subject to additional tariffs. The United States, on the other hand, has introduced 100% tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, effectively excluding them from the US market.

Consequently, European tariffs can be easily circumvented by producing Chinese electric vehicles in Türkiye. In June, Türkiye also imposed 40% tariffs on electric cars imported from China to support domestic production; however, this measure has been nullified by the above agreement.

Download the July 2024 report

Med-Or Foundation in Turkey

On Wednesday, July 20, a Memorandum of Cooperation between Med-Or Foundation and the Center for Strategic Research of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Turkey was signed.

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Turkey‘s role in the Mediterranean at the intersection of energy, economics and geopolitics.

Turkey’s economic and energy policies are linked to the country’s geopolitical ambitions in the Broader Mediterranean. A look at Ankara’s role in the region’s balance.

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